In　alignment　with　China’s　“dual　carbon”　goals　and　its　quest　to　build　an　ecological　civilization,　this　study　scrutinizes　the　carbon　emissions　derived　from　consumer　lifestyles,　with　a　particular　focus　on　Beijing,　a　high-consumption　urban　metropolis.　Utilizing　the　expanded　STIRPAT　model　and　ridge　regression,　factors　such　as　permanent　population,　per　capita　consumption　expenditure,　energy　intensity,　energy　structure,　and　consumption　structure　are　examined　to　evaluate　their　impact　on　lifestyle-associated　carbon　emissions.　A　scenario　analysis　is　also　conducted　to　project　future　carbon　emissions　in　Beijing.　From　2010　to　2020,　there　was　an　overall　upward　trend　in　lifestyle-associated　carbon　emissions,　up　to　a　maximum　of　87.8260　million　tons.　Indirect　consumption-related　carbon　emissions,　particularly　those　associated　with　residential　and　transportation-related　consumption,　constituted　the　primary　sources.　The　most　influential　factors　on　carbon　emissions　were　found　to　be　the　consumption　structure.　Notably,　adopting　a　low-carbon　consumption　mindset　and　an　optimized　consumption　structure　could　foster　significant　carbon　reduction.　Projections　suggest　that　by　2035,　carbon　emissions　due　to　residents’　consumption　could　decline　by　39.72%　under　a　low-carbon　consumption　scenario　and　by　48.74%　under　a　coordinated　development　scenario.　Future　efforts　should　prioritize　promoting　green,　low-carbon　living,　refining　consumption　structure　and　practices,　curbing　excessive　housing　consumption,　improving　energy　structure,　and　raising　technological　and　energy　efficiency　standards.　©　2024,　The　Author(s),　under　exclusive　licence　to　Springer-Verlag　GmbH　Germany,　part　of　Springer　Nature.