• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
搜索

Author:

Zhao, Xu (Zhao, Xu.) | Zhang, Zhongxian (Zhang, Zhongxian.) | Cheng, Weihu (Cheng, Weihu.) (Scholars:程维虎) | Zhang, Pengyue (Zhang, Pengyue.)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Techniques used to analyze exceedances over a high threshold are in great demand for research in economics, environmental science, and other fields. The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) has been widely used to fit observations exceeding the tail threshold in the peaks over threshold (POT) framework. Parameter estimation and threshold selection are two critical issues for threshold-based GPD inference. In this work, we propose a new GPD-based estimation approach by combining the method of moments and likelihood moment techniques based on the least squares concept, in which the shape and scale parameters of the GPD can be simultaneously estimated. To analyze extreme data, the proposed approach estimates the parameters by minimizing the sum of squared deviations between the theoretical GPD function and its expectation. Additionally, we introduce a recently developed stopping rule to choose the suitable threshold above which the GPD asymptotically fits the exceedances. Simulation studies show that the proposed approach performs better or similar to existing approaches, in terms of bias and the mean square error, in estimating the shape parameter. In addition, the performance of three threshold selection procedures is assessed by estimating the value-at-risk (VaR) of the GPD. Finally, we illustrate the utilization of the proposed method by analyzing air pollution data. In this analysis, we also provide a detailed guide regarding threshold selection.

Keyword:

parameter estimation generalized Pareto distribution peaks over threshold extreme values threshold

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhao, Xu]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Zhongxian]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Cheng, Weihu]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhang, Pengyue]Ohio State Univ, Coll Med, Dept Biomed Informat, Columbus, OH 43210 USA

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhao, Xu]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Source :

MATHEMATICS

Year: 2019

Issue: 5

Volume: 7

2 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: MATHEMATICS;

ESI HC Threshold:54

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 17

SCOPUS Cited Count: 20

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 9

Affiliated Colleges:

Online/Total:1629/10653160
Address:BJUT Library(100 Pingleyuan,Chaoyang District,Beijing 100124, China Post Code:100124) Contact Us:010-67392185
Copyright:BJUT Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd.