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Author:

Zhang, Wen (Zhang, Wen.) | Du, Yuhang (Du, Yuhang.) | Yoshida, Taketoshi (Yoshida, Taketoshi.) | Wang, Qing (Wang, Qing.) | Li, Xiangjun (Li, Xiangjun.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Monitoring and predicting the trend of bug number time series of a software system is crucial for both software project managers and software end-users. For software managers, accurate prediction of bug number of a software system will assist them in making timely decisions, such as effort investment and resource allocation. For software end-users, knowing possible bug number of their systems ahead will enable them to adopt timely actions in coping with the loss caused by possible system failures. This study proposes an approach called SamEn-SVR to combine sample entropy and support vector regression (SVR) to predict software bug number using time series analysis. The basic idea is to use template vectors with the smallest complexity as input vectors for SVR classifiers to ensure predictability of time series. By using Mozilla Firefox bug data, we conduct extensive experiments to compare the proposed approach and state-of-the-art techniques including auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), X12 enhanced ARIMA and polynomial regression to predict bug number time series. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed SamEn-SVR approach outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in bug number prediction.

Keyword:

template vectors regression analysis time series Mozilla Firefox bug data support vector regression bug number prediction software management sample entropy software bug number autoregressive moving average processes program debugging SamEn-SVR approach input vectors SVR classifiers vectors bug number time series software project managers support vector machines pattern classification time series analysis software end-users software system entropy

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Res Ctr Big Data Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Du, Yuhang]Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Res Ctr Big Data Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Yoshida, Taketoshi]Japan Adv Inst Sci & Technol, Sch Knowledge Sci, 1-1 Ashahidai, Nomi City, Ishikawa 9231292, Japan
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Qing]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Software, State Key Lab Comp Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Li, Xiangjun]Xian Univ, Sch Informat Engn, Xian 710065, Shaanxi, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Res Ctr Big Data Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China

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Source :

IET SOFTWARE

ISSN: 1751-8806

Year: 2018

Issue: 3

Volume: 12

Page: 183-189

1 . 6 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: COMPUTER SCIENCE;

ESI HC Threshold:161

JCR Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 10

SCOPUS Cited Count: 17

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 5

Online/Total:223/10507917
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