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Author:

Chen, Jindong (Chen, Jindong.) | Du, Yuxuan (Du, Yuxuan.) | Liu, Linlin (Liu, Linlin.) | Zhang, Pinyi (Zhang, Pinyi.) | Zhang, Wen (Zhang, Wen.)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE PubMed

Abstract:

The modeling and forecasting of BBS (Bulletin Board System) posts time series is crucial for government agencies, corporations and website operators to monitor public opinion. Accurate prediction of the number of BBS posts will assist government agencies or corporations in making timely decisions and estimating the future number of BBS posts will help website operators to allocate resources to deal with the possible hot events pressure. By combining sample entropy (SampEn) and deep neural networks (DNN), an approach (SampEn-DNN) is proposed for BBS posts time series modeling and forecasting. The main idea of SampEn-DNN is to utilize SampEn to decide the input vectors of DNN with smallest complexity, and DNN to enhance the prediction performance of time series. Selecting Tianya Zatan new posts as the data source, the performances of SampEn-DNN were compared with auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), seasonal ARIMA, polynomial regression, neural networks, etc. approaches for prediction of the daily number of new posts. From the experimental results, it can be found that the proposed approach SampEn-DNN outperforms the state-of-the-art approaches for BBS posts time series modeling and forecasting.

Keyword:

time series BBS posts deep neural networks sample entropy

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Jindong]Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Du, Yuxuan]Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Liu, Linlin]Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhang, Pinyi]Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Jindong]Beijing Key Lab Green Dev Decis Based Big Data, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Du, Yuxuan]Beijing Key Lab Green Dev Decis Based Big Data, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Liu, Linlin]Beijing Key Lab Green Dev Decis Based Big Data, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Zhang, Pinyi]Beijing Key Lab Green Dev Decis Based Big Data, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Zhang, Wen]Xian Univ, Sch Informat Engn, Xian 710065, Shaanxi, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Zhang, Wen]Xian Univ, Sch Informat Engn, Xian 710065, Shaanxi, Peoples R China

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Source :

ENTROPY

ISSN: 1099-4300

Year: 2019

Issue: 1

Volume: 21

2 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: PHYSICS;

ESI HC Threshold:123

JCR Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 7

SCOPUS Cited Count: 8

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 6

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