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Author:

Li, Xin (Li, Xin.) (Scholars:李欣) | Xie, Qianqian (Xie, Qianqian.) | Jiang, Jiaojiao (Jiang, Jiaojiao.) | Zhou, Yuan (Zhou, Yuan.) | Huang, Lucheng (Huang, Lucheng.) (Scholars:黄鲁成)

Indexed by:

SSCI EI Scopus CPCI-SSH

Abstract:

Monitoring the emergence of emerging technologies helps managers and decision makers to identify development trends in emerging technologies is crucial for government research and development (R&D), strategic planning, social investment, and enterprise practices. Researchers usually use academic papers and patent data to identify and monitoring the trends of emerging technologies from a technological perspective, but they rarely make use of social media data (e.g., such as Twitter data) related to emerging technologies. Analysis of this social media data is of great significance to understand the emergence of emerging technologies and gain insight into development trends. Therefore, this paper proposes a framework that uses patent analysis and Twitter data mining to monitoring the emergence of emerging technologies and identify changing trends of these emerging technologies. The perovskite solar cell technology is selected as a case study. In this case, we used patent analysis to monitoring the evolutionary path of perovskite solar cell technology. We applied Twitter data mining to analyze Twitter users' sense of, response to, and expectations for this perovskite solar cell technology. We also identified the professional types of Twitter users and examined changes in their topics of interest over time to track the emergence of perovskite solar cell technology. We analyzed a comparison of the results of patent analysis and Twitter data mining to identify development trends of perovskite solar cell technology. This paper contributes to our understanding of how technologies emerge and develop, as well as the technology forecasting and foresight methodology, and will be of interest to solar photovoltaic technology R&D experts.

Keyword:

Twitter data mining Technologies emerge Patent analysis Perovskite solar cell technology Technology trends Emerging technologies

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Xin]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xie, Qianqian]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Huang, Lucheng]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Jiang, Jiaojiao]Swinburne Univ Technol, Sch Software & Elect Engn, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
  • [ 5 ] [Zhou, Yuan]Tsinghua Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • 李欣

    [Li, Xin]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China

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Source :

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE

ISSN: 0040-1625

Year: 2019

Volume: 146

Page: 687-705

ESI Discipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI HC Threshold:84

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 105

SCOPUS Cited Count: 122

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

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