Urban　areas,　which　take　only　2%　of　the　world′s　land　territory,　have　generated　approximately　75%　of　global　carbon　emissions.　Therefore,　calculating　carbon　storage　based　on　land　use　type　and　exploring　the　impact　of　urban　land　use　change　on　carbon　storage　can　reveal　the　spatio-temporal　change　rules　of　carbon　storage　and　provide　scientific　basis　for　the　national　spatial　planning　under　the　dual　carbon　target.　Based　on　the　land　use　data,　InVEST　model　was　used　to　estimate　the　change　of　carbon　storage　in　Beijing　from　1990　to　2018,　and　FLUS　model　was　used　to　predict　the　land　use　change　under　three　urban　development　scenarios:　natural　evolution　scenario,　population　distribution　and　urban　development　scenario,　and　green　intensive　ecological　protection　scenario.　Then　InVEST　model　was　used　to　predict　the　change　of　carbon　storage　under　the　three　scenarios　in　2035.　Finally,　the　spatial　autocorrelation　model　was　used　to　study　the　zoning　management　of　the　three　scenarios,　and　the　suggestions　for　the　future　urban　development　and　low-carbon　urban　construction　planning　of　Beijing　were　proposed.　Based　on　the　research,　the　following　results　were　obtained:　(1)　from　2000　to　2010,　carbon　storage　decreased　by　4.3%.　After　2010,　carbon　loss　was　relatively　moderate,　and　improved　significantly　after　2015.　From　2010　to　2018,　the　carbon　storage　increased　by　3.5%.　(2)　Except　for　the　Natural　Evolution　Scenario(NES),　the　predicted　value　of　carbon　storage　under　the　two　scenarios　would　further　increase,　and　the　predicted　value　of　carbon　storage　under　the　GIEPS(Green　Intensive　Evolution　Protection　Scenario)　was　the　highest,　which　was　16.39×106　t,　7.5×106　t　more　than　that　of　NES.　(3)　The　local　spatial　autocorrelation　analysis　showed　that　the　carbon　storage　values　under　the　three　scenarios　were　similar　in　spatial　distribution,　and　the　high　carbon　storage　values　were　clustered　in　Huairou,　Yanqing,　Changping　and　Mentougou　districts　in　the　north,　northwest　and　west　of　the　city.　©　2022　Science　Press.　All　rights　reserved.