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Author:

Wang, L. (Wang, L..) | Ma, C. (Ma, C..) | Zhou, Y. (Zhou, Y..) | Wang, Y. (Wang, Y..) | Zhao, N. (Zhao, N..) | Chen, Y. (Chen, Y..) | Miao, Z. (Miao, Z..) | Yang, Y. (Yang, Y..) | Liu, S. (Liu, S..)

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SSCI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The COVID-19 pandemic overwhelmed national health care systems, not least in the context of hepatitis elimination. This study investigates the effects of the pandemic response on the incidence rate, mortality rate, and case fatality rate (CFR) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) cases in China. We extracted the number of hepatitis C cases and HCV-related deaths by month and year for 2015 to 2021 in China and applied two proportional tests to analyze changes in the average yearly incidence rates, mortality rates, and CFRs for 2015 to 2020. We used the autoregressive integrated moving average model to predict these three rates for 2020 based on 2015 to 2019 HCV data. The incidence of hepatitis C decreased by 7.11% and 1.42% (P <.001) in 2020 and 2021, respectively, compared with 2015 to 2019, while it increased by 6.13% (P <.001) in 2021 relative to 2020. The monthly observed incidence in 2020 was significantly lower (−26.07%) than predicted. Meanwhile, no differences in mortality rate or CFR were observed between 2021, 2020, and 2015 to 2019. Our findings suggest that nonpharmaceutical interventions and behavioral changes to mitigate COVID-19 could have reduced hepatitis C incidence and accelerated China’s implementation of a plan to eliminate HCV infection. © 2024 APJPH.

Keyword:

HCV-elimination program mortality hepatitis C incidence COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang L.]Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang L.]Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Aging and Physic-Chemical Injury Diseases of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
  • [ 3 ] [Ma C.]Department of Statistics and Data Science, School of Mathematics, Statistics and Mechanics, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhou Y.]School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang Y.]Department of Immunology, Basic Medical School, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhao N.]School of Ecology and Environment, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu, China
  • [ 7 ] [Chen Y.]Department of Infectious Diseases, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China
  • [ 8 ] [Miao Z.]Department of Infectious Diseases, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China
  • [ 9 ] [Yang Y.]Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
  • [ 10 ] [Yang Y.]Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Aging and Physic-Chemical Injury Diseases of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
  • [ 11 ] [Liu S.]Department of Infectious Diseases, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China

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Source :

Asia-Pacific Journal of Public Health

ISSN: 1010-5395

Year: 2024

Issue: 5

Volume: 36

Page: 447-454

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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